Scott Morrison hails 'miracle' as Coalition snatches unexpected victory

The Coalition has been re-elected in a shock result in which Labor lost seats in Queensland, Tasmania and NSW and failed to make more than minimal gains nationally.But former prime minister Tony Abbot...

Michelle Grattan, Professorial Fellow, University of Canberra - avatar Michelle Grattan, Professorial Fellow, University of Canberra

Coalition likely to win election in Trump-like upset, but Abbott loses Warringah

Against expectations, Scott Morrison has led the Coalition government back to power.Wes Mountain/The Conversation, CC BY-NDWith 57% of votes counted in the election, the ABC is projecting that the Coa...

Adrian Beaumont, Honorary Associate, School of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Melbourne - avatar Adrian Beaumont, Honorary Associate, School of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Melbourne

Infographic: what we know about the results of Election 2019 so far

As of 10.01pm Saturday, May 18 2019:...

Emil Jeyaratnam, Data + Interactives Editor, The Conversation - avatar Emil Jeyaratnam, Data + Interactives Editor, The Conversation

Bob Hawke, the environmental PM, bequeathed a huge 'what if' on climate change

Since the news broke of his passing, Bob Hawke has been feted as the “environmental prime minister”. From saving the Franklin River, to protecting Antarctica from mining, conservationists ...

Marc Hudson, Researcher, University of Manchester, University of Manchester - avatar Marc Hudson, Researcher, University of Manchester, University of Manchester

You are what you vote: the social and demographic factors that influence your vote

Your income, type of work, where you were born, and other social and demographic factors influences your vote more than you may think.The Conversation / ShutterstockAustralia has changed in many ways ...

Rob J Hyndman, Professor of Statistics, Monash University - avatar Rob J Hyndman, Professor of Statistics, Monash University

View from The Hill: Bob Hawke was master of managing government

It’s always easy to romanticise the past – in celebrating the prime ministership of Bob Hawke it is important to remember it had its peaks and troughs.Trouble marked many years – the...

Michelle Grattan, Professorial Fellow, University of Canberra - avatar Michelle Grattan, Professorial Fellow, University of Canberra

Vic Stockwell’s Puzzle is an unlikely survivor from a different epoch

Sign up to the Beating Around the Bush newsletter here, and suggest a plant we should cover at batb@theconversation.edu.au.On the western side of Mount Bartle Frere, the tallest mountain in Queensland...

Andrew Thornhill, Research botanist at the Botanic Gardens and State Herbarium of South Australia/Environment Institute, University of Adelaide - avatar Andrew Thornhill, Research botanist at the Botanic Gardens and State Herbarium of South Australia/Environment Institute, University of Adelaide

Vital Signs: for the best election predictions, look to the betting markets, not the opinion polls

It turns out that betting markets are quite good predictors, on average.www.shutterstock.comOpinion polls haven’t done too well in some important recent elections.Polls failed to foresee the Bre...

Richard Holden, Professor of Economics, UNSW - avatar Richard Holden, Professor of Economics, UNSW

What I learned from Bob Hawke: economics isn't an end itself. There has to be a social benefit

When I was growing up in Adelaide in the 1970s I wanted to be like Bob Hawke. Other kids generally wanted to be cricket, football or rock stars. I wanted to be a research officer with the Australian C...

Tim Harcourt, J.W. Nevile Fellow in Economics and host of The Airport Economist, UNSW - avatar Tim Harcourt, J.W. Nevile Fellow in Economics and host of The Airport Economist, UNSW

GetUp!'s brand of in-your-face activism is winning elections – and making enemies

GetUp! protesters outside the second leaders' debate in Adelaide earlier this month.David Mariuz/AAPIt can be hard for a political cause to get noticed in a jaded world awash with information, but con...

Mark Rolfe, Honorary associate, School of Social Sciences, UNSW - avatar Mark Rolfe, Honorary associate, School of Social Sciences, UNSW

VIDEO: Michelle Grattan on the passing of Bob Hawke - and the final campaign push

University of Canberra Deputy Vice-Chancellor Leigh Sullivan speaks to Michelle Grattan about the week in politics. They discuss the passing of former Labor prime minister Bob Hawke and his legacy, as...

Michelle Grattan, Professorial Fellow, University of Canberra - avatar Michelle Grattan, Professorial Fellow, University of Canberra

As we face pressing global issues, the pavilions of Venice Biennale are a 21st century anomaly

One of the most powerful images at this year's Venice Biennale is Christoph Büchel's Barca Nostra, 2018-2019, Shipwreck 18th of April 2015. La Biennale di VeneziaThe 58th Venice Biennale of Art o...

Felicity Fenner, Associate Professor at UNSW Art & Design, UNSW - avatar Felicity Fenner, Associate Professor at UNSW Art & Design, UNSW

This is what happens to a baby's body during birth

Delivering a human baby – which has a large, highly developed brain – is risky for mother and baby. jaredandmelanie/flickr , CC BYPregnancy, labour and delivery are incredibly physically ...

Ian Wright, Professor of Paediatrics and Child Health Research, University of Wollongong - avatar Ian Wright, Professor of Paediatrics and Child Health Research, University of Wollongong

Final poll wrap: Race tightens in Ipsos and Dutton just ahead in Dickson, plus many more seat polls

The election campaign is finally coming to an end, with Australians to head to the polls tomorrow.AAP/Bianca de Marchi/Tracey NearmyThe federal election will be held tomorrow. Polls close at 6pm Austr...

Adrian Beaumont, Honorary Associate, School of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Melbourne - avatar Adrian Beaumont, Honorary Associate, School of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Melbourne

Ah, the new year. A time for throwing off your shackles, following your bliss, quitting your job and abandoning your family to finally start the artisinal yak-butter-sculpture studio of your dreams.

But big choices come with big risks. In this episode of Trust Me, I’m an Expert, Hassan Vally, an expert in epidemiology from La Trobe University, talks about “microlives”, which measure how much your life span is increased or decreased by particular activities.

We all make trade-offs between risk and reward, Vally explains on the podcast and in an article on The Conversation today. Every hour of television on the couch, for example, knocks 15 minutes off your life expectancy, on average. On the other hand, a daily serve of vegetables will increase your life expectancy by a couple of hours, and three coffees will add half an hour to your tally.

Even medical procedures can cost us “microlives”, as detailed in a table Vally put together for us.

“Having a mammogram costs you four hours off your life span, but if that diagnoses a cancer that’s going to save you maybe 20 years on your life. You’ve got to be really careful about understanding the costs and benefits,” Vally says.

Also in this episode, Michelle Lim, a lecturer in clinical psychology at Swinburne University of Technology, discusses one of the biggest risks we face as social animals: loneliness.

Loneliness and isolation seem to be on the rise, but Lim explores the ways we can understand – and overcome – loneliness, without being afraid of it.

And finally, we ask the big question: have you stuck with your cocktail, liquor or tipple of choice over the holiday season? Alex Russell, a wine expert at CQ University, asks why we’re so reluctant step outside our gastronomic comfort zones, and how we can expand our horizons.

As an encounter with “spit-bucket gin” proves, it’s not a totally risk-free endeavour, but Russell says that with awareness and intention we can open up a whole new world of flavour.

Lastly, we wanted to pay a quick tribute to Jesse Cox, a friend and audio producer who recently died from a brain tumour. He was a giant in the podcasting world. He worked on programs like Trace, This Is About and Long Story Short, and helped influence many of the podcasters working in Australia today, including some of us here at The Conversation.

We’ve included in this episode a montage of Jesse’s work that was first broadcast on RN Breakfast here, and check out his incredible back catalogue here.

Music in this episode of Trust Me, I’m an Expert

Kindergarten by Unkle Ho, from Elefant Traks

Gears Spinning by Podington Bear

Pour Me Another by Cletus Got Shot: Free music archive

Wine Wine Wine by Stompin Riff Raffs: Free music archive

Smells like Timperley Spirit by Ergo Phizmiz: Free music archive

Crawfish and Beer by Guitar Lightnin Lee and His Thunder Band: Free music archive

Muscadine Wine by Waylon Thornton: Free music archive

Glass of Wine by The Blue Onesies: Free music archive

Drink Beer (Till The Day That I Die) by Dazie Mae: Free music archive

Easy Life by Lee Rosevere: Free music archive

Blue Highway by Podington Bear: Free music archive

Ofelia’s dream: Bensound

Additional sound

WH.GOV

Game of Thrones theme music

Jaws theme music

Pouring Whiskey, Albertofrog: freesound.org

Small crowd pre-concert talking party bar walla talking, JohnsonBrandEditing: freesound.org

Pouring beer into short glass, megashroom: freesound.org

Champagne cork pop and pour, ultradust: freesound.org

New Years Eve Sydney, MrRobAU: YouTube

Read more http://theconversation.com/trust-me-im-an-expert-risk-88862