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Election polls are more accurate if they ask participants how others will vote

  • Written by Mirta Galesic, Professor of Human Social Dynamics, Santa Fe Institute; External Faculty, Complexity Science Hub Vienna; Associate Researcher, Harding Center for Risk Literacy, University of Potsdam
imagePeople have information on how they'll vote, but also about how others in their community may vote.AP Photo/Wong Maye-E

Most public opinion polls correctly predicted the winning candidate in the 2020 U.S. presidential election – but on average, they overestimated the margin by which Democrat Joe Biden would beat Republican incumbent Donald...

Read more: Election polls are more accurate if they ask participants how others will vote

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