Labor's election loss was not a surprise if you take historical trends into account
- Written by Sarah Cameron, Research Fellow, University of Sydney
If Labor had won on Saturday, Bill Shorten would have been the least popular party leader ever elected prime minister, according to election data.Lukas Coch/AAP
Polls had predicted a narrow win for Labor in this election, so what explains the Coalition victory? Data from the Australian Election Study (AES), based on public opinion surveys conducted...
Read more: Labor's election loss was not a surprise if you take historical trends into account

