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The Conversation USA

Political forecast models aren't necessarily more accurate than polls – or the weather

  • Written by John A. Tures, Professor of Political Science, LaGrange College
imageAs the old joke goes, it's difficult to make predictions, especially about the future.Tetra Images via Getty Images

As the presidential election approaches, everyone wants to know who will win.

But nobody wants to wait until the election is actually over and the votes are all counted up and double-checked.

In an effort to predict the winner weeks,...

Read more: Political forecast models aren't necessarily more accurate than polls – or the weather

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